Rabu, 24 Maret 2010

Capital Market is a Choice of Investment

seminar pasar modal
"Capital Market is a Choice of Investment"


"you can free, you can live and you can work anywhere you like
If you make stock market your choice in Investment"

1. Session
* Part I : Individual Investors Approach
* Part II : Corporate Establishment of I.P.O

“CAPITAL MARKET IS a CHOICE OF INVESTMENT”
Do you think so...?
 Many has dream of beating the market and being super investor
 Many has fall in prey, for a magic bullets that offered by sales people
 Many has kept on trying, hoping that they can be more like investor legend
Do you still think so...?
 Once you are able to make money from others mistake.
 Because to be realitic, that all investment strategies are designed to take advantage of mistakes made by other.
 Those mistakes themselves are driven by far more basic assumptions about human behaviour, which is the irrational tendency to join crowds.
“ALL THE THING TO BE A GOOD INVEST”
All profesionals investors known the importance of this.
All losing amateur ignore it, they miss the essential element of winning
1. Mind means developing psycological rules that will keep you calm and ignore the noise of the market ( rational, while other irrationals )
2. Money refers to capital management, which means understanding risk and only risking a small part of your capital in single trade ( this is the game of capital market, once you don’t have capital then you are out the game )
3. Startegy is the system of analyzing price valuation and understanding “how does the crowd analyzing price and valuation” ( a simple think is to think to sell, how would others attrack to buy from you )
Dose it work...?
Investing is a journey to self-discovery :
 If you joy learning
 If you have risk tolerance
 If the rewards is worth it to you
 If you are prepared to work on
 Else, then you are just a gambler and will end up to nothing
Be smart...!
1. Smart Investor :
 They profit by recognaizing trends in the economy and buying in to them before the majority wakes up to the opportunity
 A knowledgeable investor can earn huge percentages gains by holding his position without being active
 They have a longer time horizon
2. Smart Traders :
 They make money by buying on short term price swings
 The idea is to buy uptrend and sell when the uptrend runs out stream
 They have shorter time horizon

PROFIT FROM the CROWD
“ there are two mains approaches ti profit from crowd behaviour “
• The momentum trading
 They buy on realy trends, and sell before the reversal once they notice the stream is running out
 It’s difficult to find a young trend
• The counter trend trading
 They buy on down-trend and sell once the price return to normal valuation
 Most amateurs love to trade agains trend, but profesional know when to exit and to run at first sign trouble
SUMMARY
1. Smart investor has a similar goal to smart trader but in a longer time horizon and grater risk tolerance
2. Smart trader has a similar goal to investor in sorter time horizon and lower risk tolerance


Planning the entry or exit
 before you go on trade be sure to know wether you are investing, mommentum trading or counter trend trading
 once you entered a trade manage it as palnned
 don’t change your strategy in the midst of trade. Because you’ll contribute to someone else profit.
The efficient market theory
 from accademics point of view that price reflect all available market information
 people buy and sell on the basis of their knowledge and the latest price represent everything known about the market
 they conclude, that simply index your profit
SUMMARY
 Investing and trading are partly rational and partly emotional
 People often act on an impulse even they harm themselves in the proces of doing so
 A winning gambler brogs about his positions and missis sell signals.
 A fearful trader beaten up by the market, become cautious beyond measure.
Price Story
 Market price are more efficient during flat trading range
 Market price grow less efficient during trends when people become more emotional
 Each price deal represent a trede betwen the buyer and seller
 A buyer wants to buy as cheaply as possible
 A seller wants to sell as expensively as possible
 All trader reflect the behaviour of the market crowd
 Each price represent a momentury consensus of value among market participant
 Fundamental values of stock change slowly
 But stock price swing all over the lot the consensus can change quickly in flash second
 So market trend to be over react during up trend and down trend

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